The Situation

Some morning links to get you up to speed:

Mr. Hani Hammoud, a senior advisor to Saad Hariri, declares that what occurred was "a one-sided civil war," and that, "the end result is that Iran has taken over the country."

Analysts seem perplexed about why March 14 would provoke such a conflict, given their poor showing on the ground to date. "The balance of power has shifted dramatically," says Carnegie Center bigwig Paul Salem. "It is odd that the government made such a decision."

David Schenker, at WINEP, urges the US government to push the Lebanese army to take a more active role in constraining Hezbollah.

Barack Obama issued a statement mainly made up of standard American boilerplate regarding Hezbollah. However, given the running coup d'etat in the country, there is a bizarre focus on "work[ing] with the international community and the private sector to rebuild Lebanon and get its economy back on its feet." I am also outraged that he neglected to mention the pressing issue of civil marriage.

But other than all of that, Lebanon is stable! As things stand today, the big loser has been the Future Movement's Saad Hariri, who can neither defend his supporters' neighborhoods, easily get his message out to the masses, or enforce his will through his position as Parliamentary majority leader. This inefficacy could easily lead Lebanese Sunnis to start looking for other political options. But that, as they say, is another post for another day.