A "Misguided and Rash" War

Israel's Winograd Commission says that Ehud Olmert exhibited "misguided and rash judgment" in waging last summer's war with Lebanon, which isn't exactly a conclusion that we needed to wait the better part of a year for.

Articles are suggesting that the commission's report will take some pressure off Olmert, because it does not call for his immediate resignation. I guess the bar was set pretty low. While it would have been nice to see Olmert forced out as a direct result of the Lebanon war, it is still only a matter of time before he's forced into an early retirement. Olmert's popularity rests at something like 2%, which tests the limits of statistical possibility. When the poll has a margin of error of +/- 5%, does that mean there is a chance Olmert's popularity is actually a negative number?